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The Case Against SB 1047

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California SB 1047 (California Safe and Secure Innovation for Frontier Artificial Intelligence Models Act) is a proposed California state bill that aims to regulate the development and deployment of large, advanced AI models by imposing safety and testing requirements on developers. The bill is now in the hands of Governor Gavin Newsom, who will either enact it into law or reject it with a veto.

The bill targets “covered models,” defined as follows:

Note that both foundation models (pre-training) and their customized variants (fine-tuning) are covered.  

To contextualize the immense scale and cost associated with training advanced AI models under SB 1047, consider the following comparison with well-known large language models (LLMs) like GPT-4, Claude, Gemini, and LLaMA. The first threshold involves AI models trained using more than 10^26 operations and costing over $100 million. To put this into perspective, GPT-4, one of the most sophisticated LLMs, is estimated to have been trained with operations in the range of 10^24 to 10^25. This means the models targeted by SB 1047 are operating on a scale at least 10 to 100 times larger, suggesting potentially hundreds of times more parameters and far greater computational complexity. The $100 million cost for these models surpasses the estimated training costs of even the most advanced models like GPT-4, positioning these new foundation models as projects achievable only by the largest tech companies. This matters because scaling is consistently delivering more sophisticated and capable models.

bigger models + more data + more compute = better performance

The second threshold addresses fine-tuned models, which involve using more than 3 × 10^25 operations and exceeding $10 million in costs. Fine-tuning at this scale goes beyond simple adjustments; it entails a significant investment to specialize a pre-trained model, potentially for highly complex tasks within specific domains like medicine or advanced coding. For comparison, this level of fine-tuning is about 100 times the operational scale of GPT-3’s entire training process. The $10 million cost still presents a substantial barrier, likely excluding all but the largest organizations from engaging in such specialized fine-tuning efforts. The targeted models under this threshold are indicative of a growing trend where fine-tuning is not just about improving existing models but pushing the boundaries of AI capabilities in very specific, high-stakes applications.

It’s crucial to recognize that these thresholds are not immutable. Advancements in architectural design or computational power could potentially lower the barriers for more teams to develop frontier models. In the end, the creation of groundbreaking AI models will be reserved for organizations possessing both substantial resources and expertise, given the overwhelming technical and regulatory obstacles posed by SB 1047.

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Additionally, SB 1047 addresses the potential for “critical harm” associated with covered AI models. It defines critical harm as significant real-world damage caused or materially enabled by an AI model or its derivative. This includes severe consequences such as the creation or use of weapons of mass destruction leading to mass casualties, cyberattacks on critical infrastructure resulting in over $500 million in damages or mass casualties, and actions by the model that, with limited human oversight, would be equivalent to specific crimes if performed by a human. The bill also covers other grave threats to public safety and security that are comparable in severity, ensuring that AI developers take comprehensive measures to prevent such outcomes.

Why Governor Newsom Should Veto SB 1047

Governor Newsom should veto SB 1047 because it imposes excessive regulatory burdens that could stifle innovation, harm California’s economy, and place undue restrictions on AI development, particularly for open source communities, startups, and smaller companies.

Federal vs. State Regulation. AI regulation should be handled at the federal level to ensure consistency across the country, rather than through a patchwork of state laws.

Stifles Innovation. SB 1047 imposes excessive regulatory burdens, particularly on startups and smaller companies. The high compliance costs and potential liability risks could hinder innovation and create a chilling effect on AI development. (Dive into the details in the Appendix below.)

Economic Harm to California. The bill could negatively impact California’s economy by driving AI companies and jobs out of the state due to the regulatory and legal burdens it imposes. This could lead to a decline in investment and a weakening of the state’s innovation ecosystem.

Impact on Open-Source AI Development. SB 1047’s stringent requirements, such as emergency shutdown mandates, could disproportionately affect open models (open-source or open-weights). The increased compliance costs and legal liabilities may discourage developers from releasing open models, potentially stifling innovation in this collaborative space.

Overly Broad and Ambiguous Regulation. The bill’s broad scope, which targets general-purpose AI technology rather than specific applications, is too encompassing. Additionally, the vague and unclear requirements, such as what constitutes “prompt” shutdowns, could lead to legal challenges and over-compliance, especially for smaller companies. Instead of creating a new, rigid AI regulatory framework, a more effective approach would be to adapt existing laws. Just as steel regulations differ based on use, AI governance should be tailored to each application’s context and risks. Updating laws in sectors like healthcare, transportation, and copyright to reflect AI’s impact allows for responsible development while mitigating specific concerns.

Premature Regulation of Nascent Technology. AI technology is still in its early stages, and the potential harms are not yet fully understood. Comprehensive regulation, like SB 1047, is premature and could stifle the growth and maturation of AI technologies.

Restricting the Development of Ultra-Large AI Models. SB 1047’s thresholds for AI models trained with more than 10^26 operations and costing over $100 million impose heavy regulatory burdens, limiting such development to only the largest tech companies and stifling broader competition and innovation.

Limiting Access to Specialized Fine-Tuning. The stringent requirements for fine-tuning models—exceeding 3 × 10^25 operations and $10 million in costs—could exclude all but the largest organizations from pursuing specialized AI development in high-stakes domains like medicine, restricting innovation and application diversity.

(From Inside the Data Strategies of Top AI Labs)

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Appendix: SB 1047 Cheat Sheet

[based on an online version pulled on 2024-08-30]

I. Scope and Definitions

A. Covered Models
B. Critical Harm

II. Pre-Training Requirements

A. Implement Cybersecurity Protections
B. Implement Full Shutdown Capability
C. Implement Safety and Security Protocol
D. Ensure Protocol Implementation
E. Retain Safety Protocol
F. Conduct Annual Protocol Review
G. Publish Redacted Protocol
H. Implement Additional Safety Measures

III. Pre-Deployment Requirements

A. Assess Critical Harm Capability
B. Record and Retain Test Information
C. Implement Safeguards Against Critical Harm
D. Ensure Attribution Capability

IV. Deployment Restrictions

V. Ongoing Requirements

A. Conduct Annual Reevaluation
B. Conduct Independent Audit
C. Produce and Retain Audit Report
D. Submit Compliance Statement
E. Report Safety Incidents

VI. Computing Cluster Requirements

A. Conduct Customer Due Diligence
B. Retain Customer Information
C. Implement Shutdown Capability

VII. Whistleblower Protections

A. Protect Employee Disclosures
B. Prohibit Retaliation
C. Provide Notice of Rights
D. Implement Internal Disclosure Process

VIII. Governance and Oversight

A. Board of Frontier Models
B. CalCompute Framework
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